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How Good are your Predictions?
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04.29.2024 | 9:37 AM ET
Hey all,
I did some analysis on how good overall user predictions of fights are, based on aggregate predictions over all UFC fights since Tapology introduced fight picks. Overall, you guys predicted about 63.5% of all UFC fights correctly, but over the same fights the bookies did more like 65%. I break all this data down in a lot more detail in a free article I wrote: https://zyoung.substack.com/p/how-good-are-you-at-picking-fights
I did some analysis on how good overall user predictions of fights are, based on aggregate predictions over all UFC fights since Tapology introduced fight picks. Overall, you guys predicted about 63.5% of all UFC fights correctly, but over the same fights the bookies did more like 65%. I break all this data down in a lot more detail in a free article I wrote: https://zyoung.substack.com/p/how-good-are-you-at-picking-fights
Responses
04.29.2024 | 9:23 PM ET
Cool read! One thing I don't get though is the bookies have a 65% rate and I have a 69.2% prediction rate, yet the bookies have definitely taken more off of me than I have of them! I guess I'm just betting on the other 30.8% of fights lol!
"I wish you good luck but I don't want you to rely on luck"
